Former president Grover Cleveland, nos. 22 & 24 must have been rooting for Donald Trump nos. 45 & 47. They are the only presidents in our long history elected to the presidency twice, but not to consecutive terms. Election night 2024 brought tears of joy and tears of despair to our divided nation. The polls predicted a nail-biter. Reality was a bloodbath.
The election results punctuated the divide between the
“educated coastal elite” and everyone else. It is wide and it is deep. It has
built over decades but ignored by the degreed and urban bound. David Brooks
notes that our education policies pushed people toward four-year college and
let vocational training wither.[i]
The well-educated migrated to the urban areas where other well-educated worked
and socialized, and where they thought well of themselves and not of the
under-educated, the working class, and the rural. Brooks said that the sucking
sound we heard on election night was the redistribution of respect. Trump heard
them, Harris, not so much.
It was the sound of Hispanics moving toward Trump, of men migrating right, of suburban women sliding
right while voting pro-abortion, of Catholics genuflecting to the right without
an abortion priority. Ultra-liberal California made a significant move to the
Republican side of the ballot in over 70% of the counties. Several
congressional districts are too close to call. There was a loud clang for the
working class, led by a supposed billionaire.
Ruy Teixeira[ii]
laments that today's Democratic coalition is not fit to win. Republicans
consistently dominate in rural areas, working-class neighborhoods, and among men and young women. He says it is no longer the party of the ordinary American, the common man, and the women.
Bernie Sanders was not surprised by the Harris loss. He
suggests that the Democratic Party, which has abandoned the working class, should
not be surprised that the working class abandoned them.[iii]
He noted that 60% of households live paycheck to paycheck and that wages adjusted
for inflation are lower than fifty years ago. He is not optimistic that the
Democratic Party will be able to understand the pain and political alienation
that tens of millions of Americans are experiencing. An independent who
caucuses with Democrats raised the ire of Nancy Pelosi who is adamant that they
are the party of the working class, all evidence to the contrary.
For many, dreams were shattered when a woman wasn’t elected
President when a Black woman wasn’t elected, when someone supportive of LGBTQ+
issues wasn’t elected, when a supporter of trans people lost.
The view in the rearview mirror is pretty clear and closer
than it appears. A twice impeached, convicted felon and sexual predator, who
tried to overturn the last election that he lost, who speaks of being a
dictator on the first day and maybe thereafter based on his focus on tearing
the country apart won the election overwhelmingly. He won the predictable red
states, he won in the blue-wall states, he moved the needle toward red in
nearly every state, he captured a large percentage of the Hispanic vote in Texas, he won the Black
men and Hispanic men, suburban women, and the majority of votes nationwide.
When referring to the MAGA movement, Americans can’t say, “That’s not who we are.” It is, regrettably.
The famous essayist E. B. White received a letter from a man
who had lost faith in humanity. He responded this way: “Mr. Nadeau, As
long as there is one upright man, as long as there is one compassionate woman,
the contagion may spread and the scene is not desolate. Hope is the thing that
is left to us in a bad time. I shall get up Sunday morning and wind the clock,
as a contribution to order and steadfastness…Hang on to your hat. Hang on to
your hope, And wind the clock, for tomorrow is another day.” [iv]
Today is the other day. The clocks need winding. How can the
decimated and leaderless Democratic Party, or anyone who can’t fathom or
tolerate the election results try to bring order and steadfastness to the chaos
we are about to experience?
Without sounding too cliché, a little retrospection would be
helpful. The nation is redder than at any time in the last few decades. Exit polls
confirm pre-election focus group responses. A vast number of people don’t trust
our most trusted institutions anymore. They don’t trust the government. Large
unions failed to endorse the most pro-union party. At least one pundit has
suggested that Democrats need to go county by county and talk to the people who
didn’t vote for them. They need to learn why.
Others have suggested replacing all the octogenarian politicians.
At age sixty, Harris was pressed into service to represent the new and younger
generation of her party. She is at least fifteen years too late. The average
age in the U.S. is thirty-five to forty years old, depending on the state in
which you live. There are lots of young Democrats in the House and Senate, in
the Mayor’s offices, and in the Governor’s offices who can take the reins of a
defeated and leaderless party. They need to lead the charge. They have the
ideas. They have the ear of the local folks. Many of the current leaders need to
get out of the way.
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a Democrat, won reelection to her
House seat in a very red district. The 36-year-old mother and business owner
told the NYT that “Democratic condescension has to go… It is going to take
parents of young kids, people in rural communities, people in the trades
running for office and being taken seriously.” Seth Moulton, a 46-year-old House member from Massachusetts said
that “Democrats spend way too much time trying not to offend anyone.” Both
called for a rebranding of the party.
There is plenty of blame to go around in the Harris-Biden
campaign organizations. They fell into Trump's trap. He called them names and
they called him names. They focused on Trump’s personality and his wild incoherent
rants and rambles at his rallies instead of ignoring him and talking about
kitchen table issues. Harris never sold whatever plan she had to reduce the
cost of groceries and gas, the two issues that mattered. The blue bloods need
to provide specific plans for improving the economy.
The current administration did a lousy job of communicating
its achievements. Televised focus groups of young men who worked on
infrastructure-related manufacturing jobs didn’t know that the funds were part
of the administration's infrastructure bill. They didn’t know that their
insurance was related to the ACA. They didn’t know that the administration was
the most pro-union in generations. They don’t listen to regular TV news or read
legacy newspapers. Trump trumped them on X,
Tic Toc, and other social media
networks. His interview on the Joe Rogan podcast was viewed by twenty-eight
million people in two days. The Dems need to speak to the folks where they live
and get their information: TikTok, Instagram, and the other hundreds of websites unknown to forty-year-olds and older.
The media can take some responsibility for the election day
outcomes. Daily for the last few years, the press was more interested
in Trump’s silly verbal outpourings than in either party’s policies. Harris was
an Oh by the way. The media, with few exceptions, is not journalism anymore;
Fox News and MSNBC are neither fair nor balanced and they don’t pretend to be. They
both carry the stench of partisanship as their mission. They and their ilk are
much to blame for the vast divide that streams through the nation. On the other
hand, that isn’t where most people get their news anymore. The Dems need to
become more astute at messaging.
Lincoln supposedly said that. "Anyone can suffer adversity,
but if you want to test a man’s character, give him power.”[v]
We have tested Trump's character and found it faulty and lacking grace, yet he
was elected by a large margin. But adversity allows the other side to evaluate their character. It must ask itself if this is who we want
to be. If not, there is much that can be done to save democracy.
Shakespeare said it differently in Hamlet when the hero
laments “The time is out of joint. O cursed spite,/ that ever I was born to set
it right!”[vi]
So, how to set it right? Democrats need to do several things quickly:
Analyze why they lost, develop a modern communications strategy, select
national committee leadership and local committee leadership who can go beyond
data analysis and get with the people, and quickly hand the reins of Senate
leadership to a younger generation and recruit candidates up and down the
ticket who are small business owners, tradespeople and others that understand
the needs of their neighbors and run on those issues.
Democrats need to listen to the people instead of telling
them what’s good for them. Focus group after focus group told the pollsters
that grocery prices and gas prices were the kitchen-table issues, both hugely
more important than the social issues the Democrats favored.
What the disheartened can’t do is sit at home and fret. That is
doing nothing to bring about change. We know that Trump will do what he told us
he would do. He will try to deport huge numbers of people, he will tear asunder
our public health care system, he will put loyalists in positions of authority
instead of qualified people, he will implement the 2025 project without too
much noise, he will allow a ban on reproductive rights, he will try to destroy
Social Security and Medicare, he will do what he said he would do.
Those of a different view will have to use every tool
available to them to ensure that we don’t become an authoritarian country. They
will have to convince their neighbor and their uncle that democracy is worth
the fight in the courts, in the halls of government, and if needed in the
streets.
[i] David Brooks, “Voters
to Elites – Do You See Me Now? New York Times, 11.07.2024
[ii] Ruy Teiseira, The
Shattering of the Democratic Coalition, The Liberal Patriot, 11.07.2024
[iii] Bernie Sanders,
Statement released 11.6.2024, Burlington, Vermont
[iv] E. B. White, Letter from
Mr. Nadeau, 3.30.1973
[v] The quote “If you
want to test a man's character, give him power” is commonly attributed to
Abraham Lincoln, but it does not appear in any of his documents. The quote
is likely attributed to American politician Robert G. Ingersoll, who said
similar things when describing Lincoln in 1883
[vi] Timothy Snyder, On
Tyranny, in the Prologue, Tim Duggan Books,2017